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CHARTERERS LOCK IN RATES

One World Shipbroker’s Market Sentiment Index (MSI) for Q1 2022 reports a 1.1 points rise in the index from 57.7 in the last edition to 58.8. Confidence has improved in all scored categories, but it is the 6 months outlook that has reported the most notable increase from 57.4 to 59.4.

Underpinning this improvement are reported higher cargo volumes and longer forward book orders signalling charterers recognition of the potential for vessel supply shortages ahead, especially for larger projects, and are locking in rates and cover earlier now than at any point so far in the recovery.

Looking back at 2021, MPP carriers can reflect on a feeding frenzy like nothing seen before. Even in the heady days of the late noughties – the last time MPPs really enjoyed any sustained momentum, the influencers were quite conventional: higher cargo demand was being met with more ships rolling out of yards.

2021’s meteoric rise has come from largely unconventional influencers, namely the impact of Covid. This has influenced the industry in many directions not least on the supply side where MPPs have been reappropriated to container feeders and older tonnage has been sold off to regional carriers at prices never thought possible. And with oil now close to $90 per barrel, this will surely stimulate investment in a sector that has provided consistent cargos and revenues to MPP/HL carriers for much of this millennium, but which have been absent for more than 5 years. What will be the effect when the oil & gas community compete with the renewable community for ship space?

The forecast for the next MSI in April 2022 is for a small rise to 59.4.

The Market Sentiment Index is an indicator index of activity in the MPP industry. It averages the res­pon­ses from an anonymous group of multipurpose vessel owner and operators to a set of breakbulk shipping-related questions. A reading of 50 is neu­tral, indicating a static market; scores below 50 show pessimism or wariness, and a score above 50 indicates optimism.

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By Breakbulk